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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Loyola Chicago

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:239.0
Current RPI:239
Expected SOS:239
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-4
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:265
Expected OOC SOS:319


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%239.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Loyola Chicago.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UTSA (347.0)CUSAH76-64W100%0.0
11-18New Mexico (141.0)MWCA75-51L0%0.0
11-21Toledo (182.0)MACH69-62W100%0.0
11-25San Diego (302.0)WCCN67-57W100%0.0
11-27Toledo (182.0)MACN74-82L0%0.0
11-28UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthN59-48L0%0.0
12-5Creighton (100.0)BEH68-65W100%0.0
12-13Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA81-61L0%0.0
12-16Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH54-60L0%0.0
12-19Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH64-47W100%0.0
12-21Western Illinois (262.0)SumH72-67W100%0.0
12-30Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH62-72L0%0.0
1-2Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA73-58L0%0.0
1-6Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA54-52L0%0.0
1-9Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH54-56L0%0.0
1-13Bradley (306.0)MVCH53-54L0%0.0
1-16Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA41-51W100%0.0
1-19Evansville (93.0)MVCA74-66L0%0.0
1-23Drake (325.0)MVCH68-63W100%0.0
1-27Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA80-54L0%0.0
1-30Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH104-96W100%0.0
2-3Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH70-78L0%0.0
2-6Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA59-73W100%0.0
2-10Bradley (306.0)MVCA43-54W100%0.0
2-14Evansville (93.0)MVCH73-74L0%0.0
2-17Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH59-56W100%0.0
2-21Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA62-75W100%0.0
2-24Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH54-76L0%0.0
2-27Drake (325.0)MVCA69-59L0%0.0
3-3Bradley (306.0)MVCN74-66W100%0.0
3-4Wichita St. (47.0)MVCN66-58L0%0.0